Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.023703 0.025492 0.027359 0.029454 0.031741 0.034167 0.036936
2024-12-29 0.020595 0.023117 0.025884 0.029154 0.032926 0.037154 0.042274
2025-01-05 0.018471 0.021403 0.024743 0.028851 0.033793 0.039582 0.046924
2025-01-12 0.016700 0.019841 0.023530 0.028212 0.034040 0.041117 0.050446
2025-01-19 0.015732 0.019107 0.023176 0.028489 0.035309 0.043863 0.055549
2025-01-26 0.014789 0.018305 0.022641 0.028444 0.036097 0.045977 0.059912
2025-02-02 0.014150 0.017822 0.022447 0.028779 0.037346 0.048712 0.065238
2025-02-09 0.013349 0.017068 0.021840 0.028504 0.037724 0.050257 0.068982
2025-02-16 0.012697 0.016464 0.021380 0.028377 0.038261 0.052012 0.073101
2025-02-23 0.012079 0.015864 0.020883 0.028150 0.038621 0.053503 0.076899
2025-03-02 0.011592 0.015413 0.020556 0.028129 0.039249 0.055391 0.081390
2025-03-09 0.011027 0.014823 0.020001 0.027741 0.039302 0.056409 0.084579
2025-03-16 0.010443 0.014184 0.019353 0.027190 0.039090 0.057025 0.087202
2025-03-23 0.009994 0.013716 0.018924 0.026935 0.039302 0.058294 0.090958
2025-03-30 0.009575 0.013270 0.018503 0.026663 0.039463 0.059475 0.094634
2025-04-06 0.009098 0.012718 0.017901 0.026082 0.039096 0.059775 0.096811
2025-04-13 0.008885 0.012544 0.017846 0.026334 0.040061 0.062283 0.102989
2025-04-20 0.008608 0.012261 0.017614 0.026293 0.040539 0.064003 0.107882
2025-04-27 0.008437 0.012129 0.017604 0.026599 0.041598 0.066755 0.114855
2025-05-04 0.008138 0.011791 0.017260 0.026349 0.041706 0.067867 0.118843
2025-05-11 0.007889 0.011519 0.017008 0.026232 0.042030 0.069367 0.123671
2025-05-18 0.007632 0.011227 0.016711 0.026026 0.042183 0.070562 0.127986
2025-05-25 0.007433 0.011015 0.016532 0.026007 0.042657 0.072359 0.133626